7 edition of Scenario planning found in the catalog.
Includes bibliographical references and index.
|Statement||Mats Lindgren and Hans Bandhold.|
|LC Classifications||HD30.28 .L543 2009|
|The Physical Object|
|LC Control Number||2009013794|
This is the first book focused on how to do and use scenario planning – which is one of the most widely used tools in the world for strategic planning, change management, innovation, problem solving, and similar purposes – for social change at the community, national, and global levels. Therefore, we present "scenario-based strategic planning" as a framework for strategic management in an uncertain world. Previous approaches to scenario planning were complex and focused on the long term, but the approach developed by Roland Berger and the Center for Strategy and Scenario Planning at HHL Leipzig Graduate School of Management is.
OCLC Number: Notes: Cover title. "Management development." "September " Description: 16 pages: illustrations ; 28 cm. Contents: Planning as learning --The scenario planning process --Step 1: Articulate the business idea --Step 2: Define the focus and scope --Step 3: Identify trends --Step 4: Identify key themes --Step 5: Create a scenario matrix --Step . Scenario planning (sometimes called “scenario and contingency planning”) is a structured way for organisations to think about the future. A group of executives sets out to develop a small.
This book is about how the Oxford Scenario Planning Approach (OSPA) enables individuals and groups to enhance their understanding of a particular situation and develop new strategies. It outlines seven premises, and has two distinctive features: (1) an approach to support strategy in contexts that exhibit turbulence, uncertainty, novelty, or ambiguity—or TUNA conditions; (2) its Author: Rafael Ramírez. What is scenario planning? Generating insights by creating a small set of scenarios for an organization’s future environment that are: – Relevant to critical business decisions – Distinct – Individually realistic and believable – Together cover the breadth of relevant uncertainties. Why scenario planning?
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I looked at a number of options for a text covering the scenario planning part of the course. No other book came close. What is particularly helpful is the combination of conceptual, design and practical thought shown in the book's development.
Scenario planning is often presented in ways that are either impenetrable or by: This book was a joy to read - it is not only visually very attractive and truly entertaining in terms of content, above all it is a genuinely practical handbook on how to conduct a scenario planning exercise.
This book stimulates out-of-the-box thinking - something that is particularly helpful for traditional sectors (for example higher /5(18).
This book is an essential resource for anyone interested in using scenario planning to inform and improve planning and policy making. It combines an instructive history of scenario planning, illustrative case studies, an overview of digital tools for creating and evaluating scenarios, a careful review of empirical studies, and a useful.
Transformative Scenario Planning “I highly commend this book. Adam has taken scenario planning to a new level, beyond the conﬁ nes of business strategy, to deal with wider social and economic issues.” —Vince Cable, Secretary of State for Business, United Kingdom “All of our toughest problems, from climate change to inequality, have.
Scenario planning challenges management to revisit its assumptions about its industry and consider a wider range of possibilities about where its industry may head in the future. This exploration results in a broader, more innovative view about future growth opportunities and risks.
Importantly, the point of scenario planning is not to predict. WHAT IF. THE ART OF SCENARIO THINKING FOR NONPROFITS Diana Scearce, Katherine Fulton, We encourage readers to use and share the content of this book, with the understanding that it is the intellectual property of Global Business Network, and that full attribution is required.
PLANNING YOUR PROCESS 55 Stories from the Field THE. Scenario Planning is the process of constructing a series of hypothetical situations, then Mentally Simulating what you would do if they occur.
You may not be a seer, but Counterfactual Simulation gives us a powerful capability: imagining things that. NEW PUBLICATION: Scenario Planning for Cities and Regions: Managing and Envisioning Uncertain Futures by Robert Goodspeed This book offers the first in-depth examination of scenario planning.
This urban and regional planning approach enables communities to create and analyze multiple plausible versions of the future in the face of rapid technology advances. In a fast paced world of more disruptive changes and connected challenges, leaders and their organizations are searching for new ways to survive and succeed.
Many different approaches to scenario planning have emerged in the last few decades. This book introduces the distinctive approach to scenario planning that the three authors have together developed in the Author: Rafael Ramírez. Using scenarios as a comprehensive planning tool Herman Kahn, brilliant strategist and game theorist, is the godfather of scenario planning.
(He partly inspired Dr. Strangelove, the creepy character played by Peter Sellers in the madcap movie of the same name.)4/5. Scenario planning allows companies to move away from linear thinking and better understand external change.
Eight years ( copies) after publication Scenarios is still acknowledged as the definitive work in the field. Now, Kees van der Heijden brings his bestseller up to date, following up on his original case studies and adding significant new material. Collaboration Transformative Scenario Planning: Working Together to Change the Future.
The following is an excerpt from chapter two of the book. Scenario planning or scenario thinking is a strategic planning tool used to make flexible long-term plans. It is a method for learning about the future by understanding the nature and impact of the most uncertain and important driving forces affecting our world.
Book Navigation. The evolution of scenario planning. Scenario Planning. Scenario planning A process of analyzing possible future events by considering alternative possible outcomes (scenarios).
helps leaders develop a detailed, internally consistent picture of a range of plausible outcomes as an industry evolves over time. You can also incorporate the results of scenario planning into your strategy formulation and implementation. Scenario Planning serves as a guide to taking a long-term look at your business, your industry, and the world, posing thoughtful questions about the possible consequences of some current (and possible future) trends.
This book will help you:Author: Woody Wade. postscript: THE THOUGHTFUL JAPANESE REACTION TO my BOOK. To my surprise, the Japanese-language edition of Scenario Planning, published by Eiji Press inbecame the country's no.
1 best-selling book on in the category "Books About Society" within a few days of its launch. How did this happen, I wondered.
The key to understanding its. Chapters walk you through an overview followed by the basic principles of scenario and strategic thinking and offer a glimpse of scenario planning in practice. Buy this book." - Harvard Business School "Given the recent rise of uncertainty, writing a book.
Recent research in the field of business strategy has shown that strategic flexibility can be achieved through a scenario planning perspective for long term competition and performance. The authors have drawn upon examples and cases to develop.
Scenario planning is a management tool that is designed to allow organizations to evaluate the efficacy of strategies, tactics, and plans under a range of possible future environments. In short, it is a perfect tool for today’s increasingly uncertain and volatile world.
Scenario planning is a practical tool for collective strategic thinking in organizations, especially when external uncertainty is high. Its overall purpose is discussed and two complementary. By Erica Olsen. In the strategic planning world, scenario planning is a way of simplifying a complex future by providing the opportunity to ask the what-if questions and to rehearse how you may respond should a certain event or trend happen in the future.
Pierre Wack sums up the outcome that scenarios seek to change our mental maps of the future. Scenario planning was just a starting point for them. Mr.
Wack, who had studied some of the mystic traditions of India and Japan in depth, had been a student of the Sufi mystic G.I. Gurdjieff in the s, and he had learned to cultivate what he called “remarkable people” around the world; this phrase in French means not so much gifted or.About Scenario Planning in Organizations.
With scenario planning, leaders, executives, and decision makers can develop strategies for multiple futures, making their organizations resilient, agile, and capable of adapting to new circumstances at the speed of change.